Good afternoon. Another pleasant day has been seen across the area. We saw more sunshine this morning but increasing clouds are expected for the second half of the day. We’ll remain dry with low humidity and breezy winds. Temperatures will be a little cooler than yesterday, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80.

Hour by Hour // A look at the next hours’ conditions »

Northeast winds will be sustained around 10-15 mph with some gusts 20-25mph. Those breezy winds combined with the low humidity and very dry brush will lead to elevated fire weather conditions today. Use caution discarding cigarettes and don’t do any outdoor burning.

On the bay and at the coast winds will be breezy and clouds will be increasing. There’s a Small Craft Advisory for the Sound and the surf at the shore will increase to 2ft to 5ft.

Ocean, Bay & Beach // A look at the conditions by the coast »

We need rain. While we’re unlikely to see a major soaking, the chances of seeing at least some showers tonight and Wednesday have increased. The rainfall forecast hinges on the track of an area of low pressure passing east of the Cape. A little wobble east means little to no rain for most of us, while a little wobble west would mean several hours of widespread rain.

The good news–some of the overnight data have trended west, with showers moving onto the Cape this evening and then pushing west through the night.

Showers are likely Wednesday morning, especially in eastern MA, and then tapering to occasional spotty rain along with some peeks of sun during the afternoon and evening.

Below is one computer model’s take on the rainfall accumulations. Most of RI is expected to get 1/4″ of rain or less, but far eastern MA from Boston to Plymouth and Cape Cod could see 1/2″ of rain or more.

Drier and warmer weather returns for the end of the work week.

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