Cool Weekend Ahead, Tracking Florence

Weather Blog

The cooler air is back!

What a difference today as the drier and cooler air continues to flow into southern New England. 

Gone are the record high temperatures and oppressive dew points… instead the air will feel almost Fall-like with slightly cooler than normal highs and refreshing dew points in the 40s and 50s. We have to get through a few sprinkles and light rain showers today, but the majority of the weekend will be dry.

That will mean a comfortable and dry weekend. You may even need/want a sweater or light jacket for the evenings and early mornings.

Skies will be mostly cloudy today and tonight, but will gradually brighten through the day on Saturday.

As we look ahead to next week, we’ll be closely monitoring “Florence”.  The storm Friday morning had weakened to a Tropical Storm.  But atmospheric conditions will allow for it to strengthen this weekend. The current forecast has it back to a Category 4 hurricane and moving westward by early next week. 

The storm is going to be forced to move west due to a ridge of high pressure in the northern Atlantic. The High will block Florence from making a quick turn to the north and instead steer it towards the US East Coast.  

While a last minute turn out-to-sea is a possibility, areas along the eastern US coast, including southern New England need to closely monitor this storm. 

Here’s what we know:

  1. The storm is likely to strengthen over the next few days
  2. It will be near the US East Coast by the middle to end of next week
  3. At a minimum, we are likely to see some dangerous surf and rip currents develop at ocean exposed beaches. 

It’s too early to say if the storm will hit the US. At this point, the likelihood of it making landfall in southern New England is very low, but not totally out of the realm of possibilities.  

What can you do:

(These are things I would recommend you do every hurricane season regardless of an impending storm)

  1. Know your storm plan and have an emergency kit ready
  2. Closely monitor the forecast and know that slight changes in the forecast track/intensity can make a big difference in the impact on any given location

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