October Outlook in Southern New England

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The final weekend of September was a testament to just how great autumn can be in New England. We still have plenty of fall left to enjoy with October. It’s arguably one of the best months of the year in Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts.


  • Cooler temperatures
  • Shorter Days
  • Fall Foliage–Average peak foliage is late October
  • Average Rain: 3.39″
  • Snow? It’s not typical in October, but in more than 100yrs of record keeping, we’ve seen a trace or more of snow 16 times.  The most recent October snow was in 2011-2012 when we saw 2.3″ of snow.


NOAA’s prediction for the month calls for warmth in the east and cooler temperatures in the Northern Plains and California. 

As for precipitation, there’s a chance of a wetter than normal month in northern New England, but across southern New England there’s an equal chance of above average and below average rainfall.

The month kicks off with at or slightly warmer than normal temperatures, and there are signs next week could be even warmer!  Our computer guidance is hinting at an anomalously strong ridge in the eastern US, that could send temperatures soaring. 

We’ll have to watch for sneaky back door cold fronts that can notoriously squash a fall warm-up, but right now there’s a strong signal for a warm second week of October in the east. 

So get out there an enoy all that fall in New England has to offer!

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