From Chief Meteorologist Tony Petrarca,
As of 11 pm Monday Night, Florence was still a category 4 storm with winds of 140 mph moving west north west. Major threat continues to be focused on South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia by Thursday and Friday. While a direct hit is not expected here in southern New England, the storm still needs to be watched closely. We expect building waves, dangerous rip currents and large offshore swells next several days along our coast, but local impacts on land are not anticipated at this time.
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Satellite imagery shows Florence is well organized and strong
Latest forecast track takes the storm into North Carolina and Virginia Thursday PM into Friday
Here is a close up forecast track with Florence expected to make landfall as Category 4 storm:
Large waves likely near the storm center as it comes onshore. Some of this “wave energy” in the form of swells will approach our coastal waters by mid to late week. .
Hurricane force winds of 100-150 mph (purple) will arrive along Carolina coast Thursday Evening
Depending on where exactly the eye makes landfall, a component of powerful onshore winds will push a destructive surge of water onto the Carolina and Virginia coast
A storm surge of 12 to 15 feet (or higher) is possible as the storm,makes landfall on North Carolina
Florence is expected to slow down and stall by Friday and Saturday producing prolong amounts of flooding rain…over a foot in many inland areas including Virginia
Next Update from National Hurricane Center comes in 5AM Tuesday
Tony Petrarca…updated Tuesday 12:46AM