The National Hurricane Center is tracking two areas for potential development. The first area is located near Cuba and is expected to move northwest into the Gulf of Mexico. The second area is located about halfway between the western coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
The area closer to the United States has a 30% chance of developing over the next 48 hours, however that chance slightly increases to 40% as we reach the 3 to 5 day time frame. The area out in the open Atlantic has now been classified as Tropical Depression Seven by the National Hurricane Center.
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The path takes Tropical Depression Seven and continues it westward. It also indicates strengthening into a tropical storm, which would mean we’d have Gonzalo on our hands as early as tomorrow morning. The next several days keeps the storm at a tropical storm status as conditions are not quite conducive for further development.
Taking things closer to home near the Gulf of Mexico, an area is given about a 30% chance of development. Satellite imagery shows a very unorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. The yellow “X” represents the center of circulation which is not well defined. This system is very weak and is entering an atmosphere with conditions that are not conducive for further development.
The next name on the list would be Gonzalo and we could see Tropical Depression Seven strengthen into Gonzalo by Wednesday morning. We’ll track this storm over the coming days as it treks across the Lesser Antilles and into the Caribbean.
Remember, throughout the entire hurricane season, you can get storm updates on our Tracking the Tropics page, which includes an interactive map.